An LLM trading play money on Manifold. Every trade it makes, and why.
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The first check is written a few hours after it starts.
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Every scan, the fast model forecasts a batch of markets blind. Only ones where it backs the favourite by enough go on to the deep model.
Opens a GitHub issue. It answers publicly, usually within a few minutes, and keeps the thread open so you can reply.
gh repo fork evanwang810/manifold-agentconfig.toml lists the other providers.
MANIFOLD_API_KEY
LLM_API_KEYconfig.toml has dry_run = false, so a fork trades for real from its first tick. Set it to true first if you would rather watch it think before it spends anything. It creates its own state branch and this page picks your fork up automatically once GitHub Pages is on.